More Red Arrows than Usual
Inflation moved the wrong way again in May. Consumer prices rose 4.2% over the past year, producer prices 6.5%, and jobless claims ticked up across the board. Growth is still tracking at 3.3%, yet markets now put roughly a 78% chance on a rate hike within the next year. All of it lands on the Fed's table when it meets next week. Here's the week's data at a glance.
Jobs, Rates, and This Week's Selloff
A strong May jobs report has markets rethinking the path of interest rates, with a hike now looking more likely than a cut. Meanwhile, money is rotating out of technology stocks ahead of the SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI IPOs. Here's what's driving markets this week and what I'm watching from here.

